Discussion: A low pressure will sit south of Ireland allowing instability to form across Ireland, Midlands into Wales. Heavy cells will form across Ireland bringing the risk of sporadic lightning particularly across W parts. An occluded front will dissipate over the E England which will allow daytime heating which will fuel cells to initiate as well as instability to around 600J/KG which will allow for some sporadic possibly isolated lightning strikes to occur. The risk will then continue tracking W/NW towards Wales & E parts of Ireland which still brings the risk of a few lightning strikes.
