Risk Keys & Description
When publishing convective outlooks, we use a variety of risk levels including LOW, SLGHT, MDT, and HIGH, which may be issued depending on our confidence. Our forecasts provide a comprehensive understanding of the probability of convective weather specifically lightning within a 25 mile radius. Every Convective forecast is issued in the evening or morning, up to three days ahead, which may be useful for individuals, weather enthusiasts, storm chasers & businesses. However, if there is ever a time where a convective outlook or a discussion hasn't been issued/published, this may be down to forecaster availability, or technical issues.
Risk levels & chance of lightning within a 25 mile radius for each risk can be found bellow.
Severity Key & Description
This will only be issued when there is a significant risk to life or buildings, which will only be issued when the risk of reaching one of the criteria's bellow is possible. There may be occasions where the criteria may not be reached across the whole highlighted area, but the possibility is still there which has to be highlighted. Most of these criteria's are more often locally then widespread, however there has been some occasions where widespread Severe weather is seen throughout each year.
Key regarding the Severe threat alongside the criteria can be seen bellow.
